Recent atmospheric patterns over southeastern Brazil, including a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, limited nighttime radiative cooling in São Paulo on September 12, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C rather than allowing deeper drops. Official station data and model consensus point to a recorded low in the 13–14 °C range, with trader sentiment split because small differences in urban heat island effects, wind speed, or exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the official minimum across the closely matched 12 °C, 14 °C, and 16 °C thresholds. Ongoing verification of INMET and airport observations will resolve these fine distinctions as final reports are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日聖保羅最低溫度?
16°C 99.5%
12°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$575 交易量
$575 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
16°C 99.5%
12°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$575 交易量
$575 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent atmospheric patterns over southeastern Brazil, including a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, limited nighttime radiative cooling in São Paulo on September 12, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C rather than allowing deeper drops. Official station data and model consensus point to a recorded low in the 13–14 °C range, with trader sentiment split because small differences in urban heat island effects, wind speed, or exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the official minimum across the closely matched 12 °C, 14 °C, and 16 °C thresholds. Ongoing verification of INMET and airport observations will resolve these fine distinctions as final reports are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions