Sébastien Lecornu’s position as French prime minister remains precarious due to the fragmented National Assembly and the government’s push for a 2027 budget featuring €54 billion in spending reductions to narrow the deficit from a projected 5.4% of GDP. Opposition parties on the left and far right have signaled readiness to table no-confidence motions during parliamentary debates, building on Lecornu’s pattern of surviving earlier censure attempts through ad-hoc Socialist backing and procedural maneuvers. Rising fuel prices and union calls for strikes add external pressure, while the approach of the 2027 presidential election encourages parties to prioritize positioning over compromise. The outcome hinges on whether sufficient cross-bench support materializes before year-end or whether fiscal tensions trigger government collapse.