**Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Laurier-Dorion seat ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election.** As the incumbent since 2018, he benefits from name recognition and strong local organization in the diverse Montreal riding encompassing Villeray and Park Extension. Recent riding-level projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show a toss-up between QS and the Liberals, with Fontecilla’s support in the mid-to-high 30s percent range and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin close behind. Other contenders, including PQ’s Kelly Lazo de la Vega, CAQ’s Emil Parfyonov, and PCQ’s Derek Lefebvre, trail significantly. The tight margin reflects the riding’s competitive dynamics between QS’s progressive base and Liberal strength among certain voter blocs, with limited recent events to shift the balance before advance polls open September 27-28.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於安德烈斯·方特西利亞 55%
蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金 18%
埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫 3.1%
德里克·勒費弗爾 <1%

安德烈斯·方特西利亞
55%

蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金
18%

埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫
3%

德里克·勒費弗爾
1%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega
<1%
安德烈斯·方特西利亞 55%
蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金 18%
埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫 3.1%
德里克·勒費弗爾 <1%

安德烈斯·方特西利亞
55%

蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金
18%

埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫
3%

德里克·勒費弗爾
1%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
**Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Laurier-Dorion seat ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election.** As the incumbent since 2018, he benefits from name recognition and strong local organization in the diverse Montreal riding encompassing Villeray and Park Extension. Recent riding-level projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show a toss-up between QS and the Liberals, with Fontecilla’s support in the mid-to-high 30s percent range and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin close behind. Other contenders, including PQ’s Kelly Lazo de la Vega, CAQ’s Emil Parfyonov, and PCQ’s Derek Lefebvre, trail significantly. The tight margin reflects the riding’s competitive dynamics between QS’s progressive base and Liberal strength among certain voter blocs, with limited recent events to shift the balance before advance polls open September 27-28.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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