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icon for 以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?

以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?

icon for 以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?

以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?

$102,800 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$102,800 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$1,833 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have centered on clearing Hezbollah infrastructure in rural villages and ridges such as Ali al-Taher and Al-Mansouri near Tyre, with recent incursions into sites like Deir Mimas and Majdal Zoun involving shelling, demolitions, and targeted strikes as of mid-September 2026. These actions occur amid stalled implementation of a June U.S.-brokered framework agreement calling for Lebanese army deployment, Israeli withdrawals from certain zones, and Hezbollah disarmament. Airstrikes and evacuation orders have hit Tyre itself earlier in the year, yet ground forces have not entered the municipality proper, reflecting a pattern of avoiding large-scale urban combat in favor of securing a buffer area. Ongoing ceasefire violations, Hezbollah rocket finds, and diplomatic negotiations continue to shape trader assessments of whether ground entry will occur by specific resolution dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$102,800
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have centered on clearing Hezbollah infrastructure in rural villages and ridges such as Ali al-Taher and Al-Mansouri near Tyre, with recent incursions into sites like Deir Mimas and Majdal Zoun involving shelling, demolitions, and targeted strikes as of mid-September 2026. These actions occur amid stalled implementation of a June U.S.-brokered framework agreement calling for Lebanese army deployment, Israeli withdrawals from certain zones, and Hezbollah disarmament. Airstrikes and evacuation orders have hit Tyre itself earlier in the year, yet ground forces have not entered the municipality proper, reflecting a pattern of avoiding large-scale urban combat in favor of securing a buffer area. Ongoing ceasefire violations, Hezbollah rocket finds, and diplomatic negotiations continue to shape trader assessments of whether ground entry will occur by specific resolution dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$102,800
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "9月30日" at 3%, followed by "5月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?" has generated $102.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?" is "9月30日" at just 3%, with "5月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "以色列軍隊通過…進入提爾?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.