Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the reconstituted Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) consistently projected near 7 seats, translating to roughly 6% of the national vote and placing the leading market bin in a narrow lead. The alliance's August reunification after prior splits, combined with a September surplus-vote agreement alongside Ra'am, has stabilized Arab-sector support amid competition between the lists. Ongoing Central Elections Committee hearings on disqualification petitions against the Joint List and other Arab parties introduce procedural uncertainty that could affect ballot access or voter mobilization in the final weeks. These factors, alongside broader turnout patterns among Arab citizens, sustain the tight distribution across the 5.5–7.5% range reflected in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6.5-7.5% 42%
4.5-5.5% 24%
5.5-6.5% 22%
7.5%以上 21%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4.5%
15%
4.5-5.5%
14%
5.5-6.5%
28%
6.5-7.5%
42%
7.5%以上
22%
6.5-7.5% 42%
4.5-5.5% 24%
5.5-6.5% 22%
7.5%以上 21%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4.5%
$238 交易量
15%
4.5-5.5%
$136 交易量
14%
5.5-6.5%
$115 交易量
28%
6.5-7.5%
$271 交易量
42%
7.5%以上
$154 交易量
22%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the reconstituted Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) consistently projected near 7 seats, translating to roughly 6% of the national vote and placing the leading market bin in a narrow lead. The alliance's August reunification after prior splits, combined with a September surplus-vote agreement alongside Ra'am, has stabilized Arab-sector support amid competition between the lists. Ongoing Central Elections Committee hearings on disqualification petitions against the Joint List and other Arab parties introduce procedural uncertainty that could affect ballot access or voter mobilization in the final weeks. These factors, alongside broader turnout patterns among Arab citizens, sustain the tight distribution across the 5.5–7.5% range reflected in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$914結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the reconstituted Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) consistently projected near 7 seats, translating to roughly 6% of the national vote and placing the leading market bin in a narrow lead. The alliance's August reunification after prior splits, combined with a September surplus-vote agreement alongside Ra'am, has stabilized Arab-sector support amid competition between the lists. Ongoing Central Elections Committee hearings on disqualification petitions against the Joint List and other Arab parties introduce procedural uncertainty that could affect ballot access or voter mobilization in the final weeks. These factors, alongside broader turnout patterns among Arab citizens, sustain the tight distribution across the 5.5–7.5% range reflected in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$914結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the reconstituted Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) consistently projected near 7 seats, translating to roughly 6% of the national vote and placing the leading market bin in a narrow lead. The alliance's August reunification after prior splits, combined with a September surplus-vote agreement alongside Ra'am, has stabilized Arab-sector support amid competition between the lists. Ongoing Central Elections Committee hearings on disqualification petitions against the Joint List and other Arab parties introduce procedural uncertainty that could affect ballot access or voter mobilization in the final weeks. These factors, alongside broader turnout patterns among Arab citizens, sustain the tight distribution across the 5.5–7.5% range reflected in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions