Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日青島氣溫最高？
9月11日青島氣溫最高？
27°C 44%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
44%
28°C
30%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
4%
27°C 44%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$352 交易量
<1%
22°C
$145 交易量
<1%
23°C
$135 交易量
<1%
24°C
$217 交易量
2%
25°C
$448 交易量
3%
26°C
$1,037 交易量
15%
27°C
$2,141 交易量
44%
28°C
$949 交易量
30%
29°C
$126 交易量
8%
30°C
$239 交易量
4%
31°C或以上
$42 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,833結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,833結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions