**Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on September 21, supporting the market's leading 31°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** In this tropical wet-season setting, high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by typical trade-wind convergence and sea-breeze effects—often moderate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings clustered around 30–32°C rather than pushing into the low 30s or higher. Recent model consensus aligns with historical September baselines of 30–32°C highs, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, as fresh observational data and short-range guidance show no major shifts that would favor 33°C+ or sub-30°C scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月21日的最高溫度？
巴拿馬城9月21日的最高溫度？
31°C 42%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
33°C或以上 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
26%
31°C
42%
32°C
20%
33°C或以上
5%
31°C 42%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
33°C或以上 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
23°C或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
24°C
$41 交易量
<1%
25°C
$636 交易量
<1%
26°C
$65 交易量
1%
27°C
$36 交易量
1%
28°C
$118 交易量
2%
29°C
$324 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,342 交易量
26%
31°C
$1,305 交易量
42%
32°C
$3,263 交易量
20%
33°C或以上
$378 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on September 21, supporting the market's leading 31°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability.**
In this tropical wet-season setting, high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by typical trade-wind convergence and sea-breeze effects—often moderate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings clustered around 30–32°C rather than pushing into the low 30s or higher. Recent model consensus aligns with historical September baselines of 30–32°C highs, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, as fresh observational data and short-range guidance show no major shifts that would favor 33°C+ or sub-30°C scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,548結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on September 21, supporting the market's leading 31°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability.**
In this tropical wet-season setting, high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by typical trade-wind convergence and sea-breeze effects—often moderate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings clustered around 30–32°C rather than pushing into the low 30s or higher. Recent model consensus aligns with historical September baselines of 30–32°C highs, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, as fresh observational data and short-range guidance show no major shifts that would favor 33°C+ or sub-30°C scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,548結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on September 21, supporting the market's leading 31°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** In this tropical wet-season setting, high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by typical trade-wind convergence and sea-breeze effects—often moderate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings clustered around 30–32°C rather than pushing into the low 30s or higher. Recent model consensus aligns with historical September baselines of 30–32°C highs, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, as fresh observational data and short-range guidance show no major shifts that would favor 33°C+ or sub-30°C scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions