Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 project a daily maximum of 31°C under east-northeast monsoon flow, with sunny periods and isolated showers keeping relative humidity at 65–90% and limiting afternoon heating. Recent model consensus from multiple sources aligns closely with this range, reflecting the transition from earlier disturbances to more stable conditions that favor peak temperatures near 31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty: clearer intervals could push readings to 32°C, while persistent showers or stronger winds might hold the maximum at 30°C or below, consistent with historical September variability under similar monsoon setups. Updated HKO guidance and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日香港最高溫度？
9月23日香港最高溫度？
31°C 29%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C或以上
1%
31°C 29%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
24°C或以下
$165 交易量
1%
25°C
$95 交易量
<1%
26°C
$25 交易量
<1%
27°C
$243 交易量
<1%
28°C
$101 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$0 交易量
22%
31°C
$5 交易量
29%
32°C
$181 交易量
26%
33°C
$106 交易量
6%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 project a daily maximum of 31°C under east-northeast monsoon flow, with sunny periods and isolated showers keeping relative humidity at 65–90% and limiting afternoon heating. Recent model consensus from multiple sources aligns closely with this range, reflecting the transition from earlier disturbances to more stable conditions that favor peak temperatures near 31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty: clearer intervals could push readings to 32°C, while persistent showers or stronger winds might hold the maximum at 30°C or below, consistent with historical September variability under similar monsoon setups. Updated HKO guidance and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$921結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 project a daily maximum of 31°C under east-northeast monsoon flow, with sunny periods and isolated showers keeping relative humidity at 65–90% and limiting afternoon heating. Recent model consensus from multiple sources aligns closely with this range, reflecting the transition from earlier disturbances to more stable conditions that favor peak temperatures near 31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty: clearer intervals could push readings to 32°C, while persistent showers or stronger winds might hold the maximum at 30°C or below, consistent with historical September variability under similar monsoon setups. Updated HKO guidance and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$921結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 project a daily maximum of 31°C under east-northeast monsoon flow, with sunny periods and isolated showers keeping relative humidity at 65–90% and limiting afternoon heating. Recent model consensus from multiple sources aligns closely with this range, reflecting the transition from earlier disturbances to more stable conditions that favor peak temperatures near 31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty: clearer intervals could push readings to 32°C, while persistent showers or stronger winds might hold the maximum at 30°C or below, consistent with historical September variability under similar monsoon setups. Updated HKO guidance and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions