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icon for 庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者
政治·祕魯

庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者

icon for 庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者
政治·祕魯

庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者

阿爾貝特·阿尼瓦爾·阿雷納斯·亞巴爾 50%

威廉·佩尼亞·法爾凡 20%

Sergio Sullca Condori 14.1%

伊莉莎白·莫妮卡·涅托·阿爾瓦雷斯 7.0%

Polymarket

$23,275 交易量

阿爾貝特·阿尼瓦爾·阿雷納斯·亞巴爾 50%

威廉·佩尼亞·法爾凡 20%

Sergio Sullca Condori 14.1%

伊莉莎白·莫妮卡·涅托·阿爾瓦雷斯 7.0%

Polymarket

$23,275 交易量

icon for 阿爾貝特·阿尼瓦爾·阿雷納斯·亞巴爾

阿爾貝特·阿尼瓦爾·阿雷納斯·亞巴爾

$15,264 交易量

50%

icon for 威廉·佩尼亞·法爾凡

威廉·佩尼亞·法爾凡

$5,928 交易量

20%

icon for Sergio Sullca Condori

Sergio Sullca Condori

$208 交易量

14%

icon for 伊莉莎白·莫妮卡·涅托·阿爾瓦雷斯

伊莉莎白·莫妮卡·涅托·阿爾瓦雷斯

$206 交易量

7%

icon for Gabriela Paliza Romero

Gabriela Paliza Romero

$116 交易量

7%

icon for Jesyka Guevara Villanueva

Jesyka Guevara Villanueva

$145 交易量

4%

icon for Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano

Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano

$205 交易量

3%

icon for Jorge Luis Segura Ttito

Jorge Luis Segura Ttito

$132 交易量

3%

icon for 愛德華多·扎恩斯·洛阿伊薩

愛德華多·扎恩斯·洛阿伊薩

$193 交易量

2%

icon for 伊萬·烏爾塔多·比亞法埃特

伊萬·烏爾塔多·比亞法埃特

$133 交易量

11%

icon for 德爾芬·肯尼迪·基斯佩·卡拉

德爾芬·肯尼迪·基斯佩·卡拉

$149 交易量

1%

icon for 費德里科·華曼·塔帕拉

費德里科·華曼·塔帕拉

$233 交易量

1%

icon for 尤洛希奧·塔皮亞·德薩

尤洛希奧·塔皮亞·德薩

$175 交易量

14%

icon for Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres

Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres

$191 交易量

1%

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Cusco provincial mayoral race on October 4, 2026, remains fragmented among more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent mid-September polling showing Albert Arenas Yabar (PRIN) ahead at roughly 22-33% but no contender exceeding 35%. William Peña Farfán (Perú Primero, incumbent district mayor) and Sergio Sullca Condori (Venceremos, another sitting district mayor) follow in the 10-16% range, while the rest trail below 15%. This distribution, combined with high undecided shares and a first-past-the-post system, keeps implied probabilities clustered because small shifts in turnout or late consolidation among regional movements and national parties could reorder the finish. No major scandals, endorsements, or debate outcomes have yet produced decisive separation in the final weeks.

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
交易量
$23,275
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Cusco provincial mayoral race on October 4, 2026, remains fragmented among more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent mid-September polling showing Albert Arenas Yabar (PRIN) ahead at roughly 22-33% but no contender exceeding 35%. William Peña Farfán (Perú Primero, incumbent district mayor) and Sergio Sullca Condori (Venceremos, another sitting district mayor) follow in the 10-16% range, while the rest trail below 15%. This distribution, combined with high undecided shares and a first-past-the-post system, keeps implied probabilities clustered because small shifts in turnout or late consolidation among regional movements and national parties could reorder the finish. No major scandals, endorsements, or debate outcomes have yet produced decisive separation in the final weeks.

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
交易量
$23,275
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿爾貝特·阿尼瓦爾·阿雷納斯·亞巴爾" at 50%, followed by "威廉·佩尼亞·法爾凡" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者" is "阿爾貝特·阿尼瓦爾·阿雷納斯·亞巴爾" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "威廉·佩尼亞·法爾凡" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "庫斯科市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.