Omar Aziz (PSD) maintains a consistent first-round polling lead at 26-34% ahead of the October 4 vote, driven by his Senate record, prior governorship, and alliances, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain closely bunched in the 15-23% range. High undecided voters near 16% and a fragmented field sustain tight second-round simulations, often within margins of error, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior plus uncertain vote consolidation. Trader consensus prices Aziz at 57.5% to win overall, with challengers lower, as recent campaign events and September polling show limited movement separating the contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧馬爾·阿齊茲 62%
教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫 19%
羅伯托·席達德 15.1%
伊撒埃爾·蒙杜魯庫 <1%
$27,710 交易量
$27,710 交易量
2026-10-04
奧馬爾·阿齊茲
62%
教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫
33%
羅伯托·席達德
15%
伊撒埃爾·蒙杜魯庫
<1%
吉爾貝托·瓦斯孔塞洛斯
<1%
卡博·達西奧洛
<1%
大衛·阿爾梅達
<1%
奧馬爾·阿齊茲 62%
教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫 19%
羅伯托·席達德 15.1%
伊撒埃爾·蒙杜魯庫 <1%
$27,710 交易量
$27,710 交易量
2026-10-04
奧馬爾·阿齊茲
$9,403 交易量
62%
教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫
$5,747 交易量
33%
羅伯托·席達德
$4,834 交易量
15%
伊撒埃爾·蒙杜魯庫
$1,935 交易量
<1%
吉爾貝托·瓦斯孔塞洛斯
$2,013 交易量
<1%
卡博·達西奧洛
$1,705 交易量
<1%
大衛·阿爾梅達
$2,073 交易量
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) maintains a consistent first-round polling lead at 26-34% ahead of the October 4 vote, driven by his Senate record, prior governorship, and alliances, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain closely bunched in the 15-23% range. High undecided voters near 16% and a fragmented field sustain tight second-round simulations, often within margins of error, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior plus uncertain vote consolidation. Trader consensus prices Aziz at 57.5% to win overall, with challengers lower, as recent campaign events and September polling show limited movement separating the contenders.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
交易量
$27,710結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETThe Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) maintains a consistent first-round polling lead at 26-34% ahead of the October 4 vote, driven by his Senate record, prior governorship, and alliances, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain closely bunched in the 15-23% range. High undecided voters near 16% and a fragmented field sustain tight second-round simulations, often within margins of error, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior plus uncertain vote consolidation. Trader consensus prices Aziz at 57.5% to win overall, with challengers lower, as recent campaign events and September polling show limited movement separating the contenders.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$27,710結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETOmar Aziz (PSD) maintains a consistent first-round polling lead at 26-34% ahead of the October 4 vote, driven by his Senate record, prior governorship, and alliances, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain closely bunched in the 15-23% range. High undecided voters near 16% and a fragmented field sustain tight second-round simulations, often within margins of error, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior plus uncertain vote consolidation. Trader consensus prices Aziz at 57.5% to win overall, with challengers lower, as recent campaign events and September polling show limited movement separating the contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions