Recent releases have driven strong trader consensus on the Coding Arena market, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev leaderboard spot at 1797 Elo shortly after its September 2026 launch, narrowly ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-max at 1762. The crowdsourced Elo system on arena.ai evaluates agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks through blind community votes, rewarding multi-step reasoning and tool use over static benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing the gap with competitive scores above 1670, while historical release cadence suggests further gains are likely before year-end. Key catalysts include any new “max” or “high” reasoning variants from OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google, plus potential leaderboard volatility from model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$209,229 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
1560
40%
1580
30%
1600
13%
$209,229 KL.
1560
$102,926 KL.
40%
1580
$69,390 KL.
30%
1600
$36,912 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases have driven strong trader consensus on the Coding Arena market, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev leaderboard spot at 1797 Elo shortly after its September 2026 launch, narrowly ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-max at 1762. The crowdsourced Elo system on arena.ai evaluates agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks through blind community votes, rewarding multi-step reasoning and tool use over static benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing the gap with competitive scores above 1670, while historical release cadence suggests further gains are likely before year-end. Key catalysts include any new “max” or “high” reasoning variants from OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google, plus potential leaderboard volatility from model updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$209,229Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases have driven strong trader consensus on the Coding Arena market, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev leaderboard spot at 1797 Elo shortly after its September 2026 launch, narrowly ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-max at 1762. The crowdsourced Elo system on arena.ai evaluates agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks through blind community votes, rewarding multi-step reasoning and tool use over static benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing the gap with competitive scores above 1670, while historical release cadence suggests further gains are likely before year-end. Key catalysts include any new “max” or “high” reasoning variants from OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google, plus potential leaderboard volatility from model updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$209,229Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent releases have driven strong trader consensus on the Coding Arena market, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev leaderboard spot at 1797 Elo shortly after its September 2026 launch, narrowly ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-max at 1762. The crowdsourced Elo system on arena.ai evaluates agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks through blind community votes, rewarding multi-step reasoning and tool use over static benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing the gap with competitive scores above 1670, while historical release cadence suggests further gains are likely before year-end. Key catalysts include any new “max” or “high” reasoning variants from OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google, plus potential leaderboard volatility from model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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