Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding near 5.1% for Q3 2026 after upward revisions tied to resilient consumer spending and AI-driven business investment, anchor trader sentiment toward the 68.5% implied probability on annualized growth of 3.0% or higher. Recent data show personal consumption expenditures tracking around 3.0-3.2% annualized alongside broadening capital expenditures, outweighing net export drags and supporting momentum from Q2's 1.5% pace. Consensus forecasts from banks range from 2.5-3.0%, while FOMC median projections focus on full-year 2026 growth near 2.3%. Key near-term catalysts include further GDPNow updates and the advance Q3 release, with risks centered on potential moderation in imports or labor market softening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≥3.0% 69%
2.5–3.0% 11%
2.0–2.5% 7%
1.5–2.0% 3.4%
$34,972 KL.
$34,972 KL.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
2%
1.5–2.0%
3%
2.0–2.5%
7%
2.5–3.0%
11%
≥3.0%
69%
≥3.0% 69%
2.5–3.0% 11%
2.0–2.5% 7%
1.5–2.0% 3.4%
$34,972 KL.
$34,972 KL.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
$1,224 KL.
3%
0.5–1.0%
$872 KL.
2%
1.0–1.5%
$860 KL.
2%
1.5–2.0%
$1,030 KL.
3%
2.0–2.5%
$2,353 KL.
7%
2.5–3.0%
$3,925 KL.
11%
≥3.0%
$24,708 KL.
69%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding near 5.1% for Q3 2026 after upward revisions tied to resilient consumer spending and AI-driven business investment, anchor trader sentiment toward the 68.5% implied probability on annualized growth of 3.0% or higher. Recent data show personal consumption expenditures tracking around 3.0-3.2% annualized alongside broadening capital expenditures, outweighing net export drags and supporting momentum from Q2's 1.5% pace. Consensus forecasts from banks range from 2.5-3.0%, while FOMC median projections focus on full-year 2026 growth near 2.3%. Key near-term catalysts include further GDPNow updates and the advance Q3 release, with risks centered on potential moderation in imports or labor market softening.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,972Ngày kết thúc
Oct 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding near 5.1% for Q3 2026 after upward revisions tied to resilient consumer spending and AI-driven business investment, anchor trader sentiment toward the 68.5% implied probability on annualized growth of 3.0% or higher. Recent data show personal consumption expenditures tracking around 3.0-3.2% annualized alongside broadening capital expenditures, outweighing net export drags and supporting momentum from Q2's 1.5% pace. Consensus forecasts from banks range from 2.5-3.0%, while FOMC median projections focus on full-year 2026 growth near 2.3%. Key near-term catalysts include further GDPNow updates and the advance Q3 release, with risks centered on potential moderation in imports or labor market softening.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Khối lượng
$34,972Ngày kết thúc
Oct 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding near 5.1% for Q3 2026 after upward revisions tied to resilient consumer spending and AI-driven business investment, anchor trader sentiment toward the 68.5% implied probability on annualized growth of 3.0% or higher. Recent data show personal consumption expenditures tracking around 3.0-3.2% annualized alongside broadening capital expenditures, outweighing net export drags and supporting momentum from Q2's 1.5% pace. Consensus forecasts from banks range from 2.5-3.0%, while FOMC median projections focus on full-year 2026 growth near 2.3%. Key near-term catalysts include further GDPNow updates and the advance Q3 release, with risks centered on potential moderation in imports or labor market softening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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