Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest nationwide internet blackouts on record starting January 8, 2026, initially to curb anti-government protests sparked by economic hardship and currency collapse, then extending it during the 2026 Iran war amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. The shutdown lasted roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May, though connectivity has remained throttled, with major platforms blocked, VPNs disrupted, and traffic well below pre-2026 levels into September. Officials have repeatedly cited national security needs to justify such measures, while the economic costs—estimated in the billions—have prompted limited easing but not a full return to prior access. Ongoing internal pressures and regional tensions continue to shape expectations around potential renewed disruptions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$247,057 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
8%
December 31
32%
$247,057 KL.
September 30
$5,818 KL.
8%
December 31
$11,789 KL.
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest nationwide internet blackouts on record starting January 8, 2026, initially to curb anti-government protests sparked by economic hardship and currency collapse, then extending it during the 2026 Iran war amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. The shutdown lasted roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May, though connectivity has remained throttled, with major platforms blocked, VPNs disrupted, and traffic well below pre-2026 levels into September. Officials have repeatedly cited national security needs to justify such measures, while the economic costs—estimated in the billions—have prompted limited easing but not a full return to prior access. Ongoing internal pressures and regional tensions continue to shape expectations around potential renewed disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$247,057Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest nationwide internet blackouts on record starting January 8, 2026, initially to curb anti-government protests sparked by economic hardship and currency collapse, then extending it during the 2026 Iran war amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. The shutdown lasted roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May, though connectivity has remained throttled, with major platforms blocked, VPNs disrupted, and traffic well below pre-2026 levels into September. Officials have repeatedly cited national security needs to justify such measures, while the economic costs—estimated in the billions—have prompted limited easing but not a full return to prior access. Ongoing internal pressures and regional tensions continue to shape expectations around potential renewed disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$247,057Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest nationwide internet blackouts on record starting January 8, 2026, initially to curb anti-government protests sparked by economic hardship and currency collapse, then extending it during the 2026 Iran war amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. The shutdown lasted roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May, though connectivity has remained throttled, with major platforms blocked, VPNs disrupted, and traffic well below pre-2026 levels into September. Officials have repeatedly cited national security needs to justify such measures, while the economic costs—estimated in the billions—have prompted limited easing but not a full return to prior access. Ongoing internal pressures and regional tensions continue to shape expectations around potential renewed disruptions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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