Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his unopposed primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million. Challenger Marquita Bradshaw, the Democratic nominee in a rematch of her 2020 loss, secured her party's nomination in August but trails significantly in limited polling and faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or an unusually strong Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though current conditions point to a wide margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$29,907 KL.
$29,907 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 KL.
$29,907 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 KL.
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his unopposed primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million. Challenger Marquita Bradshaw, the Democratic nominee in a rematch of her 2020 loss, secured her party's nomination in August but trails significantly in limited polling and faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or an unusually strong Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though current conditions point to a wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$29,907Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his unopposed primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million. Challenger Marquita Bradshaw, the Democratic nominee in a rematch of her 2020 loss, secured her party's nomination in August but trails significantly in limited polling and faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or an unusually strong Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though current conditions point to a wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$29,907Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his unopposed primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million. Challenger Marquita Bradshaw, the Democratic nominee in a rematch of her 2020 loss, secured her party's nomination in August but trails significantly in limited polling and faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or an unusually strong Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though current conditions point to a wide margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp