Google holds an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard at the end of September 2026 because its Gemini-3.7-flash-high model currently sits in that exact position with a 1525 score, trailing only Anthropic’s top-ranked Claude model by a modest margin as of the latest September 13 update. With just ten days remaining, traders see limited scope for a reversal absent a major new model release or surge in human preference votes favoring another lab’s math-focused outputs. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs trail at single-digit or low-double-digit odds, reflecting their current lower lab rankings and the stability of recent leaderboard trends. The market resolves strictly on the filtered “Labs” view of the live Text Arena Math table on September 30.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 87%
OpenAI 6.4%
Anthropic 3.8%
Meta 2.7%
$61,119 KL.
$61,119 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
87%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
4%
Meta
3%
Alibaba
2%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 87%
OpenAI 6.4%
Anthropic 3.8%
Meta 2.7%
$61,119 KL.
$61,119 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
$20,386 KL.
87%
OpenAI
$6,978 KL.
6%
Anthropic
$7,789 KL.
4%
Meta
$1,620 KL.
3%
Alibaba
$5,827 KL.
2%
Moonshot
$1,803 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,332 KL.
1%
Baidu
$1,368 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,482 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,272 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$1,302 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$951 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$566 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google holds an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard at the end of September 2026 because its Gemini-3.7-flash-high model currently sits in that exact position with a 1525 score, trailing only Anthropic’s top-ranked Claude model by a modest margin as of the latest September 13 update. With just ten days remaining, traders see limited scope for a reversal absent a major new model release or surge in human preference votes favoring another lab’s math-focused outputs. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs trail at single-digit or low-double-digit odds, reflecting their current lower lab rankings and the stability of recent leaderboard trends. The market resolves strictly on the filtered “Labs” view of the live Text Arena Math table on September 30.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$61,119Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google holds an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard at the end of September 2026 because its Gemini-3.7-flash-high model currently sits in that exact position with a 1525 score, trailing only Anthropic’s top-ranked Claude model by a modest margin as of the latest September 13 update. With just ten days remaining, traders see limited scope for a reversal absent a major new model release or surge in human preference votes favoring another lab’s math-focused outputs. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs trail at single-digit or low-double-digit odds, reflecting their current lower lab rankings and the stability of recent leaderboard trends. The market resolves strictly on the filtered “Labs” view of the live Text Arena Math table on September 30.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$61,119Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Google holds an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard at the end of September 2026 because its Gemini-3.7-flash-high model currently sits in that exact position with a 1525 score, trailing only Anthropic’s top-ranked Claude model by a modest margin as of the latest September 13 update. With just ten days remaining, traders see limited scope for a reversal absent a major new model release or surge in human preference votes favoring another lab’s math-focused outputs. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs trail at single-digit or low-double-digit odds, reflecting their current lower lab rankings and the stability of recent leaderboard trends. The market resolves strictly on the filtered “Labs” view of the live Text Arena Math table on September 30.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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