**Stefany Shaheen holds a strong lead in the NH-01 general election market following her narrow Democratic primary victory on September 8, 2026.** The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, is rated Lean or Likely Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s recent performance where Kamala Harris carried it by roughly two points in 2024. Shaheen, a former Portsmouth city councilor and health care entrepreneur with high name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, consolidated support after a competitive primary against Maura Sullivan and others. Anthony DiLorenzo, a businessman who secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement, faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in over a decade. Higher Democratic primary turnout and the seat’s partisan baseline underpin trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNH-01 House Election Winner
Stefany Shaheen (D)
89%
Anthony DiLorenzo (R)
12%
Stefany Shaheen (D)
89%
Anthony DiLorenzo (R)
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Stefany Shaheen holds a strong lead in the NH-01 general election market following her narrow Democratic primary victory on September 8, 2026.** The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, is rated Lean or Likely Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s recent performance where Kamala Harris carried it by roughly two points in 2024. Shaheen, a former Portsmouth city councilor and health care entrepreneur with high name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, consolidated support after a competitive primary against Maura Sullivan and others. Anthony DiLorenzo, a businessman who secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement, faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in over a decade. Higher Democratic primary turnout and the seat’s partisan baseline underpin trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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