Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,266,619 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
10%
October 31
59%
October 15
25%
$1,266,619 KL.
September 15
$12,195 KL.
3%
September 30
$81,195 KL.
10%
October 31
$14,302 KL.
59%
October 15
$2,843 KL.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,266,619Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,266,619Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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