Valerie Foushee’s position as the Democratic incumbent in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district underpins the 96% trader consensus for her victory. The district, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee advanced from a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam by fewer than two percentage points and faces Republican nominee Max Ganorkar, who ran unopposed with minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still narrow the outcome in theory, though structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$46,830 KL.
$46,830 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
96%
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
$46,830 KL.
$46,830 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
$15,566 KL.
96%
Max Ganorkar (R)
$31,264 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee’s position as the Democratic incumbent in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district underpins the 96% trader consensus for her victory. The district, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee advanced from a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam by fewer than two percentage points and faces Republican nominee Max Ganorkar, who ran unopposed with minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still narrow the outcome in theory, though structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee’s position as the Democratic incumbent in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district underpins the 96% trader consensus for her victory. The district, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee advanced from a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam by fewer than two percentage points and faces Republican nominee Max Ganorkar, who ran unopposed with minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still narrow the outcome in theory, though structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$46,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee’s position as the Democratic incumbent in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district underpins the 96% trader consensus for her victory. The district, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee advanced from a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam by fewer than two percentage points and faces Republican nominee Max Ganorkar, who ran unopposed with minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still narrow the outcome in theory, though structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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