The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
2.8M-2.95M 37%
2.65M-2.8M 30%
2.5M-2.65M 17%
<2.2M 15.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
15%
2.2M-2.35M
13%
2.35M-2.5M
9%
2.5M-2.65M
17%
2.65M-2.8M
30%
2.8M-2.95M
37%
2.95M-3.1M
10%
3.1M+
11%
2.8M-2.95M 37%
2.65M-2.8M 30%
2.5M-2.65M 17%
<2.2M 15.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
$71 KL.
15%
2.2M-2.35M
$71 KL.
13%
2.35M-2.5M
$71 KL.
9%
2.5M-2.65M
$90 KL.
17%
2.65M-2.8M
$669 KL.
30%
2.8M-2.95M
$694 KL.
37%
2.95M-3.1M
$63 KL.
10%
3.1M+
$79 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,807Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,807Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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