Recent forecast updates from MetService and international models indicate a southerly change overnight into September 22, with rain clearing to mostly clear skies, positioning the minimum temperature in Wellington near 7–9 °C and producing closely matched market-implied odds around 8 °C and 9 °C. Primary scientific drivers include the timing and strength of the southerly wind shift, which advects cooler maritime air, combined with variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling and dew-point depression. Model spread arises from differences in predicted wind speeds and the exact hour of clearing, while historical September minima average near 9–10 °C. Traders are monitoring the next MetService update and overnight satellite observations for refinements ahead of the daily minimum window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
10°C 40%
6°C 39%
11°C 39%
7°C 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
1%
5°C
3%
6°C
39%
7°C
35%
8°C
32%
9°C
31%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
3%
10°C 40%
6°C 39%
11°C 39%
7°C 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
5°C
$0 KL.
3%
6°C
$0 KL.
39%
7°C
$5 KL.
35%
8°C
$0 KL.
32%
9°C
$6 KL.
31%
10°C
$0 KL.
40%
11°C
$0 KL.
39%
12°C
$0 KL.
4%
13°C
$0 KL.
1%
14°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from MetService and international models indicate a southerly change overnight into September 22, with rain clearing to mostly clear skies, positioning the minimum temperature in Wellington near 7–9 °C and producing closely matched market-implied odds around 8 °C and 9 °C. Primary scientific drivers include the timing and strength of the southerly wind shift, which advects cooler maritime air, combined with variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling and dew-point depression. Model spread arises from differences in predicted wind speeds and the exact hour of clearing, while historical September minima average near 9–10 °C. Traders are monitoring the next MetService update and overnight satellite observations for refinements ahead of the daily minimum window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from MetService and international models indicate a southerly change overnight into September 22, with rain clearing to mostly clear skies, positioning the minimum temperature in Wellington near 7–9 °C and producing closely matched market-implied odds around 8 °C and 9 °C. Primary scientific drivers include the timing and strength of the southerly wind shift, which advects cooler maritime air, combined with variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling and dew-point depression. Model spread arises from differences in predicted wind speeds and the exact hour of clearing, while historical September minima average near 9–10 °C. Traders are monitoring the next MetService update and overnight satellite observations for refinements ahead of the daily minimum window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from MetService and international models indicate a southerly change overnight into September 22, with rain clearing to mostly clear skies, positioning the minimum temperature in Wellington near 7–9 °C and producing closely matched market-implied odds around 8 °C and 9 °C. Primary scientific drivers include the timing and strength of the southerly wind shift, which advects cooler maritime air, combined with variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling and dew-point depression. Model spread arises from differences in predicted wind speeds and the exact hour of clearing, while historical September minima average near 9–10 °C. Traders are monitoring the next MetService update and overnight satellite observations for refinements ahead of the daily minimum window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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