**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models showing overnight lows near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air following recent warm days. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with September 9’s minimum at 19.7°C and ongoing humid, overcast conditions limiting radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Resolution hinges on official JMA minimum readings; deviations to 18°C or below would require stronger cold advection or clearer skies than currently modeled, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
19°C 93%
18°C 8%
17°C 2%
16°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
93%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 93%
18°C 8%
17°C 2%
16°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$94 KL.
<1%
15°C
$732 KL.
<1%
16°C
$579 KL.
<1%
17°C
$592 KL.
2%
18°C
$667 KL.
8%
19°C
$1,932 KL.
93%
20°C
$2,424 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,098 KL.
<1%
22°C
$316 KL.
<1%
23°C
$323 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$241 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models showing overnight lows near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air following recent warm days. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with September 9’s minimum at 19.7°C and ongoing humid, overcast conditions limiting radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Resolution hinges on official JMA minimum readings; deviations to 18°C or below would require stronger cold advection or clearer skies than currently modeled, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,999Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models showing overnight lows near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air following recent warm days. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with September 9’s minimum at 19.7°C and ongoing humid, overcast conditions limiting radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Resolution hinges on official JMA minimum readings; deviations to 18°C or below would require stronger cold advection or clearer skies than currently modeled, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,999Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models showing overnight lows near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air following recent warm days. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with September 9’s minimum at 19.7°C and ongoing humid, overcast conditions limiting radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Resolution hinges on official JMA minimum readings; deviations to 18°C or below would require stronger cold advection or clearer skies than currently modeled, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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