**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 22?
22°C or below 95%
32°C or higher 90%
27°C 44%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
95%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
90%
22°C or below 95%
32°C or higher 90%
27°C 44%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
95%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
39%
26°C
$0 KL.
24%
27°C
$10 KL.
37%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
3%
30°C
$0 KL.
17%
31°C
$0 KL.
14%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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