**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10, 2026, centers on 14–15°C because official forecasts and hourly observations consistently indicate overnight radiative cooling to that narrow band under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea moderates extremes, while mid-September climatology features gradual cooling after summer monsoon retreat, with average lows near 18°C but recent northerly flow and clear nighttime conditions promoting lower values. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly profiles, show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the pre-dawn hours (around 04:00–06:00 local time) before daytime warming resumes, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (53%) and 14°C (25%), alongside a meaningful 24.5% probability on 13°C or below, reflecting residual model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. Higher outcomes remain near zero because no warming advection or cloud increase is expected to lift the minimum above 16°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent will provide the final resolution data as the day closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
13°C or below 26%
14°C 25%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
53%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 26%
14°C 25%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$20 KL.
26%
14°C
$31 KL.
25%
15°C
$26 KL.
53%
16°C
$219 KL.
<1%
17°C
$503 KL.
<1%
18°C
$97 KL.
<1%
19°C
$65 KL.
<1%
20°C
$60 KL.
<1%
21°C
$35 KL.
<1%
22°C
$175 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$86 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10, 2026, centers on 14–15°C because official forecasts and hourly observations consistently indicate overnight radiative cooling to that narrow band under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.**
Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea moderates extremes, while mid-September climatology features gradual cooling after summer monsoon retreat, with average lows near 18°C but recent northerly flow and clear nighttime conditions promoting lower values. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly profiles, show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the pre-dawn hours (around 04:00–06:00 local time) before daytime warming resumes, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat.
This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (53%) and 14°C (25%), alongside a meaningful 24.5% probability on 13°C or below, reflecting residual model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. Higher outcomes remain near zero because no warming advection or cloud increase is expected to lift the minimum above 16°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent will provide the final resolution data as the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,318Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10, 2026, centers on 14–15°C because official forecasts and hourly observations consistently indicate overnight radiative cooling to that narrow band under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.**
Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea moderates extremes, while mid-September climatology features gradual cooling after summer monsoon retreat, with average lows near 18°C but recent northerly flow and clear nighttime conditions promoting lower values. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly profiles, show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the pre-dawn hours (around 04:00–06:00 local time) before daytime warming resumes, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat.
This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (53%) and 14°C (25%), alongside a meaningful 24.5% probability on 13°C or below, reflecting residual model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. Higher outcomes remain near zero because no warming advection or cloud increase is expected to lift the minimum above 16°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent will provide the final resolution data as the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,318Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10, 2026, centers on 14–15°C because official forecasts and hourly observations consistently indicate overnight radiative cooling to that narrow band under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea moderates extremes, while mid-September climatology features gradual cooling after summer monsoon retreat, with average lows near 18°C but recent northerly flow and clear nighttime conditions promoting lower values. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly profiles, show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the pre-dawn hours (around 04:00–06:00 local time) before daytime warming resumes, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (53%) and 14°C (25%), alongside a meaningful 24.5% probability on 13°C or below, reflecting residual model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. Higher outcomes remain near zero because no warming advection or cloud increase is expected to lift the minimum above 16°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent will provide the final resolution data as the day closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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