**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 23 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty driven by the retreating southwest monsoon and variable nocturnal cooling conditions.** Historical September lows average 24–26 °C, with occasional drops to 21 °C under clear, dry nights, while persistent cloud cover or residual moisture keeps readings near or above 27 °C. The India Meteorological Department’s September 2026 outlook indicates below-normal rainfall and above-normal minimum temperatures across most of the country, yet northwest India shows pockets where minima could trend normal to below normal. Key differentiators include forecast model spread on low-level moisture, wind patterns that enhance or suppress radiative cooling, and any late-season low-pressure systems that could increase cloudiness. With the date only two days away, the next IMD extended-range update and local observations will likely resolve whether conditions favor the cooler or warmer tail of the distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 23?
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 100%
27°C 45%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
45%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
100%
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 100%
27°C 45%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
45%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 23 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty driven by the retreating southwest monsoon and variable nocturnal cooling conditions.** Historical September lows average 24–26 °C, with occasional drops to 21 °C under clear, dry nights, while persistent cloud cover or residual moisture keeps readings near or above 27 °C. The India Meteorological Department’s September 2026 outlook indicates below-normal rainfall and above-normal minimum temperatures across most of the country, yet northwest India shows pockets where minima could trend normal to below normal. Key differentiators include forecast model spread on low-level moisture, wind patterns that enhance or suppress radiative cooling, and any late-season low-pressure systems that could increase cloudiness. With the date only two days away, the next IMD extended-range update and local observations will likely resolve whether conditions favor the cooler or warmer tail of the distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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