Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 83.5% implied probability due to its recent selection as lead-left underwriter on the SpaceX IPO and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. The two banks have handled the bulk of preparation for the artificial intelligence company’s potential listing, with Goldman benefiting from its track record in major tech debuts and allocation influence. Morgan Stanley holds a distant second at 12.5%, reflecting its comparable bookrunner status and parallel work on rival Anthropic. Preliminary discussions with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others have not elevated their positions. CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 comments ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 for AI safety and alignment work have not altered bank dynamics, though the eventual public prospectus remains the key resolution catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.1%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,372 KL.
$51,372 KL.

Goldman Sachs
84%

Morgan Stanley
13%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.1%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,372 KL.
$51,372 KL.

Goldman Sachs
84%

Morgan Stanley
13%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 83.5% implied probability due to its recent selection as lead-left underwriter on the SpaceX IPO and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. The two banks have handled the bulk of preparation for the artificial intelligence company’s potential listing, with Goldman benefiting from its track record in major tech debuts and allocation influence. Morgan Stanley holds a distant second at 12.5%, reflecting its comparable bookrunner status and parallel work on rival Anthropic. Preliminary discussions with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others have not elevated their positions. CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 comments ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 for AI safety and alignment work have not altered bank dynamics, though the eventual public prospectus remains the key resolution catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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