Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race at 78.5% implied probability because recent polls from mid-September consistently place the independent “Kraków for Residents” candidate first in the first round with 35–39% support, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/ PSL-backed) at 21–23%. Michał Drewnicki (PiS) and smaller-party contenders trail in single or low double digits. A potential runoff on 11 October would likely favor Gibała by wide margins according to the same surveys. The September 27 first-round vote follows a May recall of the prior mayor, leaving a fragmented field of over twenty registered candidates and little time for challengers to close the gap before ballots open.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtŁukasz Gibała 78%
Monika Piątkowska 16%
Michał Drewnicki 5.1%
Grażyna Zofia Świat 2.8%
$26,853 KL.
$26,853 KL.
Sep 27, 2026
Łukasz Gibała
78%
Monika Piątkowska
16%
Michał Drewnicki
5%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
3%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%
Jan Hoffman
<1%
Marian Banaś
<1%
Rafał Komarewicz
<1%
Marianna Schreiber
<1%
Aleksandra Owca
<1%
Rafał Sonik
<1%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
Marta Ratuszyńska
<1%
Michał Klimek
<1%
Łukasz Gibała 78%
Monika Piątkowska 16%
Michał Drewnicki 5.1%
Grażyna Zofia Świat 2.8%
$26,853 KL.
$26,853 KL.
Sep 27, 2026
Łukasz Gibała
$13,990 KL.
78%
Monika Piątkowska
$3,492 KL.
16%
Michał Drewnicki
$843 KL.
5%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
$1,081 KL.
3%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
$629 KL.
1%
Jan Hoffman
$470 KL.
<1%
Marian Banaś
$845 KL.
<1%
Rafał Komarewicz
$522 KL.
<1%
Marianna Schreiber
$605 KL.
<1%
Aleksandra Owca
$658 KL.
<1%
Rafał Sonik
$525 KL.
<1%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
$497 KL.
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
$483 KL.
<1%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
$514 KL.
<1%
Paweł Śliz
$577 KL.
<1%
Marta Ratuszyńska
$520 KL.
<1%
Michał Klimek
$602 KL.
<1%
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race at 78.5% implied probability because recent polls from mid-September consistently place the independent “Kraków for Residents” candidate first in the first round with 35–39% support, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/ PSL-backed) at 21–23%. Michał Drewnicki (PiS) and smaller-party contenders trail in single or low double digits. A potential runoff on 11 October would likely favor Gibała by wide margins according to the same surveys. The September 27 first-round vote follows a May recall of the prior mayor, leaving a fragmented field of over twenty registered candidates and little time for challengers to close the gap before ballots open.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,853Ngày kết thúc
Sep 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race at 78.5% implied probability because recent polls from mid-September consistently place the independent “Kraków for Residents” candidate first in the first round with 35–39% support, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/ PSL-backed) at 21–23%. Michał Drewnicki (PiS) and smaller-party contenders trail in single or low double digits. A potential runoff on 11 October would likely favor Gibała by wide margins according to the same surveys. The September 27 first-round vote follows a May recall of the prior mayor, leaving a fragmented field of over twenty registered candidates and little time for challengers to close the gap before ballots open.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Khối lượng
$26,853Ngày kết thúc
Sep 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race at 78.5% implied probability because recent polls from mid-September consistently place the independent “Kraków for Residents” candidate first in the first round with 35–39% support, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/ PSL-backed) at 21–23%. Michał Drewnicki (PiS) and smaller-party contenders trail in single or low double digits. A potential runoff on 11 October would likely favor Gibała by wide margins according to the same surveys. The September 27 first-round vote follows a May recall of the prior mayor, leaving a fragmented field of over twenty registered candidates and little time for challengers to close the gap before ballots open.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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