The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJascha Rohr 44%
Ulf Prange 44%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$19,489 KL.
$19,489 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
Jascha Rohr
41%
Ulf Prange
44%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Jascha Rohr 44%
Ulf Prange 44%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$19,489 KL.
$19,489 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
Jascha Rohr
$5,754 KL.
41%
Ulf Prange
$7,218 KL.
44%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 KL.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 KL.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 KL.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 KL.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 KL.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 KL.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 KL.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,489Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Khối lượng
$19,489Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect the first-round structure of Oldenburg's September 13 direct election, where nine candidates compete and a September 27 runoff appears likely between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed contender. Prange's local council and state legislative experience balances Rohr's coalition support from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, with both drawing on established party networks and recent public forums on city finances, traffic, and development. The nine-candidate field, confirmed in July, keeps minor options at negligible levels, while the elevated "other" share captures residual uncertainty over turnout and preference flows among independents and smaller groups. No single development has produced separation in the final days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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