Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify Ra’am from the October 27 Knesset election, citing petitions alleging support for armed struggle by terrorist groups and rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. The same panel also barred the Joint List and individual candidates from other Arab parties. These rulings are not final, however, and automatically proceed to Supreme Court review, where similar disqualifications have been overturned in prior cycles on evidentiary or procedural grounds. Ra’am, which previously joined a governing coalition and recently incorporated Jewish candidates, has appealed, with hearings expected within days. Traders assign an 88.5% probability that the party will ultimately appear on the ballot, reflecting the court’s historical pattern and the narrow window before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật11% khả năng
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Oct 27, 2026
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Oct 27, 2026
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify Ra’am from the October 27 Knesset election, citing petitions alleging support for armed struggle by terrorist groups and rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. The same panel also barred the Joint List and individual candidates from other Arab parties. These rulings are not final, however, and automatically proceed to Supreme Court review, where similar disqualifications have been overturned in prior cycles on evidentiary or procedural grounds. Ra’am, which previously joined a governing coalition and recently incorporated Jewish candidates, has appealed, with hearings expected within days. Traders assign an 88.5% probability that the party will ultimately appear on the ballot, reflecting the court’s historical pattern and the narrow window before voting.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070be91...Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify Ra’am from the October 27 Knesset election, citing petitions alleging support for armed struggle by terrorist groups and rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. The same panel also barred the Joint List and individual candidates from other Arab parties. These rulings are not final, however, and automatically proceed to Supreme Court review, where similar disqualifications have been overturned in prior cycles on evidentiary or procedural grounds. Ra’am, which previously joined a governing coalition and recently incorporated Jewish candidates, has appealed, with hearings expected within days. Traders assign an 88.5% probability that the party will ultimately appear on the ballot, reflecting the court’s historical pattern and the narrow window before voting.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070be91...Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify Ra’am from the October 27 Knesset election, citing petitions alleging support for armed struggle by terrorist groups and rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. The same panel also barred the Joint List and individual candidates from other Arab parties. These rulings are not final, however, and automatically proceed to Supreme Court review, where similar disqualifications have been overturned in prior cycles on evidentiary or procedural grounds. Ra’am, which previously joined a governing coalition and recently incorporated Jewish candidates, has appealed, with hearings expected within days. Traders assign an 88.5% probability that the party will ultimately appear on the ballot, reflecting the court’s historical pattern and the narrow window before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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