Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the race is a classic midterm rematch in a competitive seat where the president’s party historically loses ground. Miller-Meeks defeated Bohannan by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a recount, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up. Bohannan won her June primary decisively, matches the incumbent’s fundraising, and leads recent polling averages by a few points. Republican leaders have labeled the seat essential to retaining House control, while Bohannan’s campaign emphasizes affordability and healthcare access in a district Trump carried in the prior presidential election. An independent candidate adds further uncertainty to the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
$28,244 KL.
$28,244 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
74%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
23%
$28,244 KL.
$28,244 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
$18,492 KL.
74%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
$9,753 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the race is a classic midterm rematch in a competitive seat where the president’s party historically loses ground. Miller-Meeks defeated Bohannan by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a recount, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up. Bohannan won her June primary decisively, matches the incumbent’s fundraising, and leads recent polling averages by a few points. Republican leaders have labeled the seat essential to retaining House control, while Bohannan’s campaign emphasizes affordability and healthcare access in a district Trump carried in the prior presidential election. An independent candidate adds further uncertainty to the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the race is a classic midterm rematch in a competitive seat where the president’s party historically loses ground. Miller-Meeks defeated Bohannan by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a recount, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up. Bohannan won her June primary decisively, matches the incumbent’s fundraising, and leads recent polling averages by a few points. Republican leaders have labeled the seat essential to retaining House control, while Bohannan’s campaign emphasizes affordability and healthcare access in a district Trump carried in the prior presidential election. An independent candidate adds further uncertainty to the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the race is a classic midterm rematch in a competitive seat where the president’s party historically loses ground. Miller-Meeks defeated Bohannan by fewer than 800 votes in 2024 after a recount, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up. Bohannan won her June primary decisively, matches the incumbent’s fundraising, and leads recent polling averages by a few points. Republican leaders have labeled the seat essential to retaining House control, while Bohannan’s campaign emphasizes affordability and healthcare access in a district Trump carried in the prior presidential election. An independent candidate adds further uncertainty to the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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