Recent U.S. 30-year Treasury yields hover near 5.29–5.33% as of late September 2026, elevated by roughly 50 basis points year-over-year amid resilient growth, core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% funds rate range, coupled with expectations for additional tightening, has anchored short-term rates higher while fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, and geopolitical energy risks have lifted long-end compensation. Market-implied odds reflect limited near-term relief, with traders focused on upcoming CPI prints, labor data, and FOMC communications that could shift rate-path expectations and allow yields to test lower levels before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$14,363 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Below 5.20%
62%
Below 5.15%
56%
Below 5.10%
43%
Below 5.05%
38%
Below 5.00%
30%
Below 4.95%
27%
Below 4.90%
18%
Below 4.80%
14%
Below 4.60%
2%
$14,363 KL.
Below 5.20%
$1,558 KL.
62%
Below 5.15%
$775 KL.
56%
Below 5.10%
$1,844 KL.
43%
Below 5.05%
$234 KL.
38%
Below 5.00%
$1,930 KL.
30%
Below 4.95%
$561 KL.
27%
Below 4.90%
$1,188 KL.
18%
Below 4.80%
$3,100 KL.
14%
Below 4.60%
$3,173 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. 30-year Treasury yields hover near 5.29–5.33% as of late September 2026, elevated by roughly 50 basis points year-over-year amid resilient growth, core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% funds rate range, coupled with expectations for additional tightening, has anchored short-term rates higher while fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, and geopolitical energy risks have lifted long-end compensation. Market-implied odds reflect limited near-term relief, with traders focused on upcoming CPI prints, labor data, and FOMC communications that could shift rate-path expectations and allow yields to test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,363Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. 30-year Treasury yields hover near 5.29–5.33% as of late September 2026, elevated by roughly 50 basis points year-over-year amid resilient growth, core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% funds rate range, coupled with expectations for additional tightening, has anchored short-term rates higher while fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, and geopolitical energy risks have lifted long-end compensation. Market-implied odds reflect limited near-term relief, with traders focused on upcoming CPI prints, labor data, and FOMC communications that could shift rate-path expectations and allow yields to test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$14,363Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. 30-year Treasury yields hover near 5.29–5.33% as of late September 2026, elevated by roughly 50 basis points year-over-year amid resilient growth, core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% funds rate range, coupled with expectations for additional tightening, has anchored short-term rates higher while fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, and geopolitical energy risks have lifted long-end compensation. Market-implied odds reflect limited near-term relief, with traders focused on upcoming CPI prints, labor data, and FOMC communications that could shift rate-path expectations and allow yields to test lower levels before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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