Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
15°C 61%
14°C 23%
16°C 14%
12°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
23%
15°C
61%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 61%
14°C 23%
16°C 14%
12°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$528 KL.
<1%
10°C
$176 KL.
<1%
11°C
$194 KL.
1%
12°C
$621 KL.
2%
13°C
$1,654 KL.
2%
14°C
$1,149 KL.
23%
15°C
$2,819 KL.
61%
16°C
$1,221 KL.
14%
17°C
$225 KL.
2%
18°C
$350 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$471 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,409Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,409Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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