Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 11 project a daytime high near 80°F at Central Park after morning clouds clear under northwest flow. This follows a cold front passage, with high pressure building and limiting afternoon heating despite seasonal norms around 78°F. Model consensus points to partly to mostly sunny skies and lighter winds, positioning the 80-81°F range as the market favorite at 48% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary layer mixing could shift the peak by 1-2°F, consistent with the narrower trading on adjacent bins. Updated guidance through resolution will refine these outlooks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on September 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 11?
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
51%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
69°F or below
$187 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$33 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$80 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$49 KL.
2%
76-77°F
$186 KL.
6%
78-79°F
$477 KL.
26%
80-81°F
$303 KL.
51%
82-83°F
$358 KL.
18%
84-85°F
$5 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$82 KL.
2%
88°F or higher
$80 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 11 project a daytime high near 80°F at Central Park after morning clouds clear under northwest flow. This follows a cold front passage, with high pressure building and limiting afternoon heating despite seasonal norms around 78°F. Model consensus points to partly to mostly sunny skies and lighter winds, positioning the 80-81°F range as the market favorite at 48% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary layer mixing could shift the peak by 1-2°F, consistent with the narrower trading on adjacent bins. Updated guidance through resolution will refine these outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,840Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 11 project a daytime high near 80°F at Central Park after morning clouds clear under northwest flow. This follows a cold front passage, with high pressure building and limiting afternoon heating despite seasonal norms around 78°F. Model consensus points to partly to mostly sunny skies and lighter winds, positioning the 80-81°F range as the market favorite at 48% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary layer mixing could shift the peak by 1-2°F, consistent with the narrower trading on adjacent bins. Updated guidance through resolution will refine these outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,840Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 11 project a daytime high near 80°F at Central Park after morning clouds clear under northwest flow. This follows a cold front passage, with high pressure building and limiting afternoon heating despite seasonal norms around 78°F. Model consensus points to partly to mostly sunny skies and lighter winds, positioning the 80-81°F range as the market favorite at 48% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary layer mixing could shift the peak by 1-2°F, consistent with the narrower trading on adjacent bins. Updated guidance through resolution will refine these outlooks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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