**Strong westerly winds and variable cloud cover are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 16°C (41.5%) and 17°C (38.5%) for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 21.** Springtime conditions feature a post-frontal airmass with brisk flow (10–12 m/s) that limits boundary-layer warming and enhances mixing, while partial cloudiness modulates incoming solar radiation. Official model consensus from regional forecasts shows afternoon peaks clustered around 15–17°C, with small differences in timing of any clearing or wind gusts determining whether readings reach the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical September averages near 16–18°C provide context, but today’s stronger-than-normal gradient and lack of significant moisture advection keep the distribution centered on these two outcomes. Traders are monitoring real-time observations and updated model runs through the afternoon for any shifts in peak insolation or wind strength.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?
16°C 44%
17°C 39%
15°C 12%
18°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
44%
17°C
39%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
17°C 39%
15°C 12%
18°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
44%
17°C
39%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Strong westerly winds and variable cloud cover are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 16°C (41.5%) and 17°C (38.5%) for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 21.** Springtime conditions feature a post-frontal airmass with brisk flow (10–12 m/s) that limits boundary-layer warming and enhances mixing, while partial cloudiness modulates incoming solar radiation. Official model consensus from regional forecasts shows afternoon peaks clustered around 15–17°C, with small differences in timing of any clearing or wind gusts determining whether readings reach the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical September averages near 16–18°C provide context, but today’s stronger-than-normal gradient and lack of significant moisture advection keep the distribution centered on these two outcomes. Traders are monitoring real-time observations and updated model runs through the afternoon for any shifts in peak insolation or wind strength.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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