Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$18 KL.
-
$150B-$200B
$18 KL.
-
$200B-$250B
$18 KL.
95%
$250B-$300B
$18 KL.
95%
$300B-$350B
$18 KL.
95%
$350B-$400B
$18 KL.
95%
$400B-$450B
$18 KL.
-
$450B+
$18 KL.
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$272 KL.
22%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$416Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$416Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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