Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in politically competitive states anchor trader consensus on the closest 2026 race. Ohio stands out with Amy Acton facing Vivek Ramaswamy in repeated near-ties according to recent polling, while Alaska’s matchup and Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo versus Democrat Aaron Ford show narrow projected margins. Georgia’s open contest between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson, along with Iowa and Wisconsin, also feature limited leads and shifting Cook Political Report toss-up designations. These states differentiate through absent incumbency advantages, balanced partisan fundamentals from the prior presidential cycle, and late primary resolutions that left both parties with viable nominees. Additional polling releases, candidate events, or turnout shifts in key demographics could narrow or widen gaps and consolidate support behind one outcome before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtClosest Governor's Race?
Closest Governor's Race?
Ohio 14.0%
Alaska 12.6%
Nevada 11%
Georgia 9.8%
$19,682 KL.
$19,682 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
14%
Alaska
13%
Nevada
11%
Georgia
10%
Florida
7%
Iowa
6%
Kansas
5%
Oregon
5%
Michigan
4%
Texas
3%
Colorado
3%
Vermont
3%
Wisconsin
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Arizona
2%
Minnesota
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
<1%
Ohio 14.0%
Alaska 12.6%
Nevada 11%
Georgia 9.8%
$19,682 KL.
$19,682 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
$886 KL.
14%
Alaska
$284 KL.
13%
Nevada
$3,902 KL.
11%
Georgia
$1,055 KL.
10%
Florida
$996 KL.
7%
Iowa
$1,875 KL.
6%
Kansas
$3,304 KL.
5%
Oregon
$346 KL.
5%
Michigan
$379 KL.
4%
Texas
$2,660 KL.
3%
Colorado
$283 KL.
3%
Vermont
$201 KL.
3%
Wisconsin
$1,572 KL.
3%
New Hampshire
$549 KL.
3%
Arizona
$307 KL.
2%
Minnesota
$364 KL.
2%
New Mexico
$343 KL.
1%
Maine
$375 KL.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in politically competitive states anchor trader consensus on the closest 2026 race. Ohio stands out with Amy Acton facing Vivek Ramaswamy in repeated near-ties according to recent polling, while Alaska’s matchup and Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo versus Democrat Aaron Ford show narrow projected margins. Georgia’s open contest between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson, along with Iowa and Wisconsin, also feature limited leads and shifting Cook Political Report toss-up designations. These states differentiate through absent incumbency advantages, balanced partisan fundamentals from the prior presidential cycle, and late primary resolutions that left both parties with viable nominees. Additional polling releases, candidate events, or turnout shifts in key demographics could narrow or widen gaps and consolidate support behind one outcome before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,682Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in politically competitive states anchor trader consensus on the closest 2026 race. Ohio stands out with Amy Acton facing Vivek Ramaswamy in repeated near-ties according to recent polling, while Alaska’s matchup and Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo versus Democrat Aaron Ford show narrow projected margins. Georgia’s open contest between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson, along with Iowa and Wisconsin, also feature limited leads and shifting Cook Political Report toss-up designations. These states differentiate through absent incumbency advantages, balanced partisan fundamentals from the prior presidential cycle, and late primary resolutions that left both parties with viable nominees. Additional polling releases, candidate events, or turnout shifts in key demographics could narrow or widen gaps and consolidate support behind one outcome before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$19,682Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in politically competitive states anchor trader consensus on the closest 2026 race. Ohio stands out with Amy Acton facing Vivek Ramaswamy in repeated near-ties according to recent polling, while Alaska’s matchup and Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo versus Democrat Aaron Ford show narrow projected margins. Georgia’s open contest between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson, along with Iowa and Wisconsin, also feature limited leads and shifting Cook Political Report toss-up designations. These states differentiate through absent incumbency advantages, balanced partisan fundamentals from the prior presidential cycle, and late primary resolutions that left both parties with viable nominees. Additional polling releases, candidate events, or turnout shifts in key demographics could narrow or widen gaps and consolidate support behind one outcome before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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