**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
$42,927 KL.
$42,927 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
6%
$42,927 KL.
$42,927 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,914 KL.
86%
Democratic Party
$31,013 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,927Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,927Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, leads polls for Alaska’s at-large House seat ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.** Following his 2024 victory, Begich advanced from the August 18 top-four primary with strong support and faces independent Bill Hill as the primary challenger after Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew in July. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research and others from July–August, show Begich ahead by double digits in early rounds and narrower but consistent margins in final ranked-choice scenarios. The state’s Republican lean, consolidated GOP field, and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Republican hands, with Democratic prospects limited by the absence of a top-tier nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp