Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<1% шанс
$110,948 Обс.
$110,948 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1% шанс
$110,948 Обс.
$110,948 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Обсяг
$110,948Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Обсяг
$110,948Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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