Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 series models currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai, posting the highest Elo scores in human-preference evaluations for complex, competition-style math problems as of mid-September 2026. This positioning drives the 77.5% market-implied probability, reflecting sustained leadership in iterative reasoning and tool-integrated performance over rivals like Google (11.2%) and OpenAI (6.5%). Recent benchmarks show Anthropic entries holding the top four math-category spots with minimal movement in the past 30 days, while competitors' updates have not closed the gap in open-ended text-to-text math tasks. Traders appear to weigh the short window to end-of-October resolution against the risk of a late model release or leaderboard shift altering the ranking.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
Anthropic 77%
Google 11.2%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$38,876 Обс.
$38,876 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
77%
11%
OpenAI
7%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 77%
Google 11.2%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$38,876 Обс.
$38,876 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$16,241 Обс.
77%
$1,765 Обс.
11%
OpenAI
$6,917 Обс.
7%
Alibaba
$982 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$1,002 Обс.
1%
Meta
$1,105 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,132 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$964 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$942 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$753 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$778 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,033 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$694 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$492 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$745 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$653 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$649 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$773 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$662 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$593 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 series models currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai, posting the highest Elo scores in human-preference evaluations for complex, competition-style math problems as of mid-September 2026. This positioning drives the 77.5% market-implied probability, reflecting sustained leadership in iterative reasoning and tool-integrated performance over rivals like Google (11.2%) and OpenAI (6.5%). Recent benchmarks show Anthropic entries holding the top four math-category spots with minimal movement in the past 30 days, while competitors' updates have not closed the gap in open-ended text-to-text math tasks. Traders appear to weigh the short window to end-of-October resolution against the risk of a late model release or leaderboard shift altering the ranking.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$38,876Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 series models currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai, posting the highest Elo scores in human-preference evaluations for complex, competition-style math problems as of mid-September 2026. This positioning drives the 77.5% market-implied probability, reflecting sustained leadership in iterative reasoning and tool-integrated performance over rivals like Google (11.2%) and OpenAI (6.5%). Recent benchmarks show Anthropic entries holding the top four math-category spots with minimal movement in the past 30 days, while competitors' updates have not closed the gap in open-ended text-to-text math tasks. Traders appear to weigh the short window to end-of-October resolution against the risk of a late model release or leaderboard shift altering the ranking.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$38,876Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 series models currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai, posting the highest Elo scores in human-preference evaluations for complex, competition-style math problems as of mid-September 2026. This positioning drives the 77.5% market-implied probability, reflecting sustained leadership in iterative reasoning and tool-integrated performance over rivals like Google (11.2%) and OpenAI (6.5%). Recent benchmarks show Anthropic entries holding the top four math-category spots with minimal movement in the past 30 days, while competitors' updates have not closed the gap in open-ended text-to-text math tasks. Traders appear to weigh the short window to end-of-October resolution against the risk of a late model release or leaderboard shift altering the ranking.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання