Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland holds a structural edge in Washington’s 10th district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a D+9 partisan voter index and consistent recent presidential results favoring Democrats by double digits. After the August top-two primary, where Strickland captured nearly half the vote and Republican Chris Chung advanced second, the race has seen limited new activity. Strickland’s substantial fundraising lead and the absence of major campaign developments since then keep trader consensus centered on a comfortable Democratic margin, with probabilities clustered across 20-35 point ranges and Republican victory priced lower. Scheduled debates or late-cycle polling shifts remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
WA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 5-10% 42%
Democrat 30-35% 36%
Democrat 25-30% 36%
Democrat 20-25% 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 35%+
32%
Democrat 30-35%
36%
Democrat 25-30%
36%
Democrat 20-25%
35%
Democrat 15-20%
33%
Democrat 10-15%
33%
Democrat 5-10%
42%
Democrat 0-5%
34%
Republican Wins
33%
Democrat 5-10% 42%
Democrat 30-35% 36%
Democrat 25-30% 36%
Democrat 20-25% 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 35%+
$0 Обс.
32%
Democrat 30-35%
$0 Обс.
36%
Democrat 25-30%
$0 Обс.
36%
Democrat 20-25%
$0 Обс.
35%
Democrat 15-20%
$0 Обс.
33%
Democrat 10-15%
$0 Обс.
33%
Democrat 5-10%
$0 Обс.
42%
Democrat 0-5%
$0 Обс.
34%
Republican Wins
$40 Обс.
33%
The 2026 WA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland holds a structural edge in Washington’s 10th district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a D+9 partisan voter index and consistent recent presidential results favoring Democrats by double digits. After the August top-two primary, where Strickland captured nearly half the vote and Republican Chris Chung advanced second, the race has seen limited new activity. Strickland’s substantial fundraising lead and the absence of major campaign developments since then keep trader consensus centered on a comfortable Democratic margin, with probabilities clustered across 20-35 point ranges and Republican victory priced lower. Scheduled debates or late-cycle polling shifts remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
The 2026 WA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:51 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 WA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland holds a structural edge in Washington’s 10th district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a D+9 partisan voter index and consistent recent presidential results favoring Democrats by double digits. After the August top-two primary, where Strickland captured nearly half the vote and Republican Chris Chung advanced second, the race has seen limited new activity. Strickland’s substantial fundraising lead and the absence of major campaign developments since then keep trader consensus centered on a comfortable Democratic margin, with probabilities clustered across 20-35 point ranges and Republican victory priced lower. Scheduled debates or late-cycle polling shifts remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
The 2026 WA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:51 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland holds a structural edge in Washington’s 10th district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a D+9 partisan voter index and consistent recent presidential results favoring Democrats by double digits. After the August top-two primary, where Strickland captured nearly half the vote and Republican Chris Chung advanced second, the race has seen limited new activity. Strickland’s substantial fundraising lead and the absence of major campaign developments since then keep trader consensus centered on a comfortable Democratic margin, with probabilities clustered across 20-35 point ranges and Republican victory priced lower. Scheduled debates or late-cycle polling shifts remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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