Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 runoff with 65% against Shelly deZevallos, following a strong first-place finish in the March primary amid a crowded field. The open seat, vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, sits in a Houston-area district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, with consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent statewide and federal contests. Bonck's endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House leadership reinforced his position against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who won her primary outright but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan lean exceeding R+20. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Bonck reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$28,006 Обс.
$28,006 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Bonck (R)
93%
Melissa McDonough (D)
6%
$28,006 Обс.
$28,006 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Bonck (R)
$17,956 Обс.
93%
Melissa McDonough (D)
$10,050 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 runoff with 65% against Shelly deZevallos, following a strong first-place finish in the March primary amid a crowded field. The open seat, vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, sits in a Houston-area district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, with consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent statewide and federal contests. Bonck's endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House leadership reinforced his position against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who won her primary outright but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan lean exceeding R+20. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Bonck reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,006Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 runoff with 65% against Shelly deZevallos, following a strong first-place finish in the March primary amid a crowded field. The open seat, vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, sits in a Houston-area district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, with consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent statewide and federal contests. Bonck's endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House leadership reinforced his position against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who won her primary outright but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan lean exceeding R+20. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Bonck reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,006Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 runoff with 65% against Shelly deZevallos, following a strong first-place finish in the March primary amid a crowded field. The open seat, vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, sits in a Houston-area district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, with consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent statewide and federal contests. Bonck's endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House leadership reinforced his position against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who won her primary outright but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan lean exceeding R+20. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Bonck reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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