Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The Austin-area seat features a Cook PVI around D+26 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris in 2024. Casar, the incumbent moved into the district after mid-decade redistricting prompted Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance historically exceeds 70 percent. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Casar aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
$42,878 Обс.
$42,878 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Casar (D)
98%
Lauren Peña (R)
1%
$42,878 Обс.
$42,878 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Casar (D)
$26,227 Обс.
98%
Lauren Peña (R)
$16,651 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The Austin-area seat features a Cook PVI around D+26 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris in 2024. Casar, the incumbent moved into the district after mid-decade redistricting prompted Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance historically exceeds 70 percent. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Casar aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,878Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The Austin-area seat features a Cook PVI around D+26 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris in 2024. Casar, the incumbent moved into the district after mid-decade redistricting prompted Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance historically exceeds 70 percent. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Casar aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,878Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The Austin-area seat features a Cook PVI around D+26 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris in 2024. Casar, the incumbent moved into the district after mid-decade redistricting prompted Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance historically exceeds 70 percent. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Casar aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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