Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$30,119 Обс.
$30,119 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Babin (R)
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
7%
$30,119 Обс.
$30,119 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Babin (R)
$8,417 Обс.
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
$21,702 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,119Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$30,119Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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