Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the TN-01 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her victory near 97 percent. The district’s strong Republican tilt, shown by a Partisan Voter Index around R+29 and Donald Trump’s 29.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins this positioning. Harshbarger has secured prior general elections with roughly 78-80 percent of the vote, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance including corporate PAC support, and faced no primary opposition after August 2026 primaries. Democrat Kristi Burke, who won her nomination with 77 percent, confronts structural barriers including limited visibility and resources in a seat Republicans have held since 1881. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican with projected margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current fundamentals limit those prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,113 Обс.
$27,113 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
4%
$27,113 Обс.
$27,113 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Обс.
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,435 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the TN-01 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her victory near 97 percent. The district’s strong Republican tilt, shown by a Partisan Voter Index around R+29 and Donald Trump’s 29.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins this positioning. Harshbarger has secured prior general elections with roughly 78-80 percent of the vote, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance including corporate PAC support, and faced no primary opposition after August 2026 primaries. Democrat Kristi Burke, who won her nomination with 77 percent, confronts structural barriers including limited visibility and resources in a seat Republicans have held since 1881. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican with projected margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current fundamentals limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,113Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the TN-01 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her victory near 97 percent. The district’s strong Republican tilt, shown by a Partisan Voter Index around R+29 and Donald Trump’s 29.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins this positioning. Harshbarger has secured prior general elections with roughly 78-80 percent of the vote, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance including corporate PAC support, and faced no primary opposition after August 2026 primaries. Democrat Kristi Burke, who won her nomination with 77 percent, confronts structural barriers including limited visibility and resources in a seat Republicans have held since 1881. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican with projected margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current fundamentals limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,113Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the TN-01 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her victory near 97 percent. The district’s strong Republican tilt, shown by a Partisan Voter Index around R+29 and Donald Trump’s 29.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins this positioning. Harshbarger has secured prior general elections with roughly 78-80 percent of the vote, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance including corporate PAC support, and faced no primary opposition after August 2026 primaries. Democrat Kristi Burke, who won her nomination with 77 percent, confronts structural barriers including limited visibility and resources in a seat Republicans have held since 1881. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican with projected margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current fundamentals limit those prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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