Recent US Drought Monitor assessments, with data valid through early September 2026, show 1.4% of the contiguous United States in D4 exceptional drought amid 49.5% overall drought coverage. Flash drought degradations in the South-Central region, combined with worsening conditions along the North Dakota-South Dakota-Minnesota border and in the Northeast, have expanded areas meeting D4 criteria on the USDM scale, while scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. Prolonged below-normal precipitation, elevated temperatures, and depleted soil moisture percentiles sustain these extremes in western and central states. The next weekly USDM release, incorporating the latest station data and model guidance, will determine the precise state count for the September 8 week and clarify whether the leading market-implied outcome of 10 or more states holds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
10 or more states 57%
7-9 states 41%
3-4 states 39%
5-6 states 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
1%
1-2 states
35%
3-4 states
39%
5-6 states
36%
7-9 states
41%
10 or more states
57%
10 or more states 57%
7-9 states 41%
3-4 states 39%
5-6 states 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
$51 Обс.
1%
1-2 states
$37 Обс.
35%
3-4 states
$0 Обс.
39%
5-6 states
$0 Обс.
36%
7-9 states
$0 Обс.
41%
10 or more states
$0 Обс.
57%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent US Drought Monitor assessments, with data valid through early September 2026, show 1.4% of the contiguous United States in D4 exceptional drought amid 49.5% overall drought coverage. Flash drought degradations in the South-Central region, combined with worsening conditions along the North Dakota-South Dakota-Minnesota border and in the Northeast, have expanded areas meeting D4 criteria on the USDM scale, while scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. Prolonged below-normal precipitation, elevated temperatures, and depleted soil moisture percentiles sustain these extremes in western and central states. The next weekly USDM release, incorporating the latest station data and model guidance, will determine the precise state count for the September 8 week and clarify whether the leading market-implied outcome of 10 or more states holds.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$89Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent US Drought Monitor assessments, with data valid through early September 2026, show 1.4% of the contiguous United States in D4 exceptional drought amid 49.5% overall drought coverage. Flash drought degradations in the South-Central region, combined with worsening conditions along the North Dakota-South Dakota-Minnesota border and in the Northeast, have expanded areas meeting D4 criteria on the USDM scale, while scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. Prolonged below-normal precipitation, elevated temperatures, and depleted soil moisture percentiles sustain these extremes in western and central states. The next weekly USDM release, incorporating the latest station data and model guidance, will determine the precise state count for the September 8 week and clarify whether the leading market-implied outcome of 10 or more states holds.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Обсяг
$89Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent US Drought Monitor assessments, with data valid through early September 2026, show 1.4% of the contiguous United States in D4 exceptional drought amid 49.5% overall drought coverage. Flash drought degradations in the South-Central region, combined with worsening conditions along the North Dakota-South Dakota-Minnesota border and in the Northeast, have expanded areas meeting D4 criteria on the USDM scale, while scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. Prolonged below-normal precipitation, elevated temperatures, and depleted soil moisture percentiles sustain these extremes in western and central states. The next weekly USDM release, incorporating the latest station data and model guidance, will determine the precise state count for the September 8 week and clarify whether the leading market-implied outcome of 10 or more states holds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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