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icon for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Політика·Бразилія

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Політика·Бразилія

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place

Benedita da Silva 66%

Marcelo Crivella 23.8%

Carlos Jordy 8%

Carlos Portinho 4.2%

Polymarket

$46,745 Обс.

Benedita da Silva 66%

Marcelo Crivella 23.8%

Carlos Jordy 8%

Carlos Portinho 4.2%

Polymarket

$46,745 Обс.

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$17,333 Обс.

66%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$4,886 Обс.

24%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$10,132 Обс.

8%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$3,286 Обс.

4%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$2,432 Обс.

2%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,630 Обс.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$816 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$490 Обс.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$375 Обс.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$763 Обс.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$887 Обс.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$671 Обс.

<1%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$843 Обс.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$845 Обс.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$649 Обс.

<1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$707 Обс.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$46,745
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$46,745
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

57%
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

53%
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

73%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Benedita da Silva» з 66%, далі «Marcelo Crivella» з 24%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place» згенерував $46.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place» — «Benedita da Silva» з 66%. Наступний — «Marcelo Crivella» з 24%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.