With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
3-4" 26%
4-5" 22%
2-3" 21%
>6" 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
27%
3-4"
29%
4-5"
22%
5-6"
7%
>6"
20%
3-4" 26%
4-5" 22%
2-3" 21%
>6" 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$1,069 Обс.
8%
2-3"
$469 Обс.
27%
3-4"
$212 Обс.
29%
4-5"
$466 Обс.
22%
5-6"
$166 Обс.
7%
>6"
$695 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,077Дата завершення
Oct 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,077Дата завершення
Oct 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...With only about 0.9 inches recorded at Central Park through early September 2026 against a roughly 4-inch monthly climatological average, near-term forecasts from the National Weather Service favor mostly dry high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow through mid-month, limiting additional accumulation. This keeps market-implied odds clustered around the 2–4 inch bins. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or tropical moisture returns, which could add 1–3 inches depending on steering patterns and convective efficiency; model spread in extended-range guidance creates the observed balance between the 2–3 inch and 3–4 inch brackets while capping probabilities for extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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