Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, a rematch of their 2024 contest that Perry won by roughly 5,000 votes. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting a competitive district with an R+3 partisan lean and polling averages showing the candidates separated by low single digits. Stelson’s substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have offset Perry’s incumbency advantages, while both campaigns emphasize cost-of-living concerns and congressional ethics. Trader consensus on a narrow margin stems from these balanced fundamentals and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts, though turnout differentials in Dauphin, Cumberland, and York counties or national midterm dynamics could still widen or reverse the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 0-3% 22%
Democrat 3-6% 20.5%
Democrat 6-9% 16.5%
Republican 3-6% 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 18%+
4%
Democrat 15-18%
4%
Democrat 12-15%
15%
Democrat 9-12%
4%
Democrat 6-9%
17%
Democrat 3-6%
21%
Democrat 0-3%
22%
Republican 0-3%
8%
Republican 3-6%
16%
Republican 6%+
3%
Democrat 0-3% 22%
Democrat 3-6% 20.5%
Democrat 6-9% 16.5%
Republican 3-6% 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 18%+
$78 Обс.
4%
Democrat 15-18%
$69 Обс.
4%
Democrat 12-15%
$118 Обс.
15%
Democrat 9-12%
$69 Обс.
4%
Democrat 6-9%
$59 Обс.
17%
Democrat 3-6%
$148 Обс.
21%
Democrat 0-3%
$139 Обс.
22%
Republican 0-3%
$138 Обс.
8%
Republican 3-6%
$210 Обс.
16%
Republican 6%+
$98 Обс.
3%
The 2026 PA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, a rematch of their 2024 contest that Perry won by roughly 5,000 votes. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting a competitive district with an R+3 partisan lean and polling averages showing the candidates separated by low single digits. Stelson’s substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have offset Perry’s incumbency advantages, while both campaigns emphasize cost-of-living concerns and congressional ethics. Trader consensus on a narrow margin stems from these balanced fundamentals and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts, though turnout differentials in Dauphin, Cumberland, and York counties or national midterm dynamics could still widen or reverse the outcome.
The 2026 PA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,126Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, a rematch of their 2024 contest that Perry won by roughly 5,000 votes. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting a competitive district with an R+3 partisan lean and polling averages showing the candidates separated by low single digits. Stelson’s substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have offset Perry’s incumbency advantages, while both campaigns emphasize cost-of-living concerns and congressional ethics. Trader consensus on a narrow margin stems from these balanced fundamentals and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts, though turnout differentials in Dauphin, Cumberland, and York counties or national midterm dynamics could still widen or reverse the outcome.
The 2026 PA-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,126Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, a rematch of their 2024 contest that Perry won by roughly 5,000 votes. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting a competitive district with an R+3 partisan lean and polling averages showing the candidates separated by low single digits. Stelson’s substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have offset Perry’s incumbency advantages, while both campaigns emphasize cost-of-living concerns and congressional ethics. Trader consensus on a narrow margin stems from these balanced fundamentals and the absence of decisive late-cycle shifts, though turnout differentials in Dauphin, Cumberland, and York counties or national midterm dynamics could still widen or reverse the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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