Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that favors the party, and his long tenure representing the district since 2007. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with projected margins exceeding 30 points based on the 2024 presidential performance and structural advantages. Challenger Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who won an uncontested Democratic primary, has raised minimal funds and faces an electorate where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jordan, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-04 House Election Winner
OH-04 House Election Winner
$21,580 Обс.
$21,580 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Jordan (R)
95%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)
5%
$21,580 Обс.
$21,580 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Jordan (R)
$9,547 Обс.
95%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)
$12,032 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that favors the party, and his long tenure representing the district since 2007. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with projected margins exceeding 30 points based on the 2024 presidential performance and structural advantages. Challenger Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who won an uncontested Democratic primary, has raised minimal funds and faces an electorate where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jordan, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,580Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that favors the party, and his long tenure representing the district since 2007. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with projected margins exceeding 30 points based on the 2024 presidential performance and structural advantages. Challenger Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who won an uncontested Democratic primary, has raised minimal funds and faces an electorate where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jordan, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,580Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that favors the party, and his long tenure representing the district since 2007. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with projected margins exceeding 30 points based on the 2024 presidential performance and structural advantages. Challenger Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who won an uncontested Democratic primary, has raised minimal funds and faces an electorate where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jordan, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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