Cait Conley leads trader pricing in the NY-17 contest because the district favored Kamala Harris in 2024, features roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, and carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report. Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory consolidated party resources behind the Army veteran and former National Security Council official, positioning her as a credible challenger to incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler maintains a cash-on-hand edge and launched a September ad campaign targeting Conley’s ties to defense contractors and AI firms, yet recent polling shows only narrow margins. The race remains one of the most expensive and closely watched House contests, with outside spending and voter turnout in the Hudson Valley suburbs likely to determine the final outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
$15,348 Обс.
$15,348 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Cait Conley (D)
56%
Mike Lawler (R)
41%
$15,348 Обс.
$15,348 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Cait Conley (D)
$6,426 Обс.
56%
Mike Lawler (R)
$8,922 Обс.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley leads trader pricing in the NY-17 contest because the district favored Kamala Harris in 2024, features roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, and carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report. Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory consolidated party resources behind the Army veteran and former National Security Council official, positioning her as a credible challenger to incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler maintains a cash-on-hand edge and launched a September ad campaign targeting Conley’s ties to defense contractors and AI firms, yet recent polling shows only narrow margins. The race remains one of the most expensive and closely watched House contests, with outside spending and voter turnout in the Hudson Valley suburbs likely to determine the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,348Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley leads trader pricing in the NY-17 contest because the district favored Kamala Harris in 2024, features roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, and carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report. Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory consolidated party resources behind the Army veteran and former National Security Council official, positioning her as a credible challenger to incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler maintains a cash-on-hand edge and launched a September ad campaign targeting Conley’s ties to defense contractors and AI firms, yet recent polling shows only narrow margins. The race remains one of the most expensive and closely watched House contests, with outside spending and voter turnout in the Hudson Valley suburbs likely to determine the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,348Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley leads trader pricing in the NY-17 contest because the district favored Kamala Harris in 2024, features roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, and carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report. Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory consolidated party resources behind the Army veteran and former National Security Council official, positioning her as a credible challenger to incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler maintains a cash-on-hand edge and launched a September ad campaign targeting Conley’s ties to defense contractors and AI firms, yet recent polling shows only narrow margins. The race remains one of the most expensive and closely watched House contests, with outside spending and voter turnout in the Hudson Valley suburbs likely to determine the final outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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