Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the primary, an outcome backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and reflecting progressive voter momentum on issues such as housing, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy. New York’s 13th District, encompassing Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating the general election safe or solid for the party. Jomo Williams, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in general elections. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Avila Chevalier aligns with this partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still affect turnout or support, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline to the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,925 Обс.
$39,925 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
2%
$39,925 Обс.
$39,925 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
$27,409 Обс.
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
$12,516 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the primary, an outcome backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and reflecting progressive voter momentum on issues such as housing, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy. New York’s 13th District, encompassing Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating the general election safe or solid for the party. Jomo Williams, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in general elections. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Avila Chevalier aligns with this partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still affect turnout or support, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline to the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,925Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the primary, an outcome backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and reflecting progressive voter momentum on issues such as housing, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy. New York’s 13th District, encompassing Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating the general election safe or solid for the party. Jomo Williams, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in general elections. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Avila Chevalier aligns with this partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still affect turnout or support, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline to the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,925Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the primary, an outcome backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and reflecting progressive voter momentum on issues such as housing, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy. New York’s 13th District, encompassing Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating the general election safe or solid for the party. Jomo Williams, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in general elections. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Avila Chevalier aligns with this partisan baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still affect turnout or support, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline to the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання